The month of October saw an increase in insurgent attacks in Cabo Delgado, while the government was focused on combatting the demonstrations against electoral fraud in Maputo. The rising trend of attacks is continuing in November, with an average of at least one attack every two days.
The increased number of attacks in Cabo Delgado in the election context was a predictable risk, based on what happened in the 2019 general elections. However, during the election campaign, and up until voting day, there were not many attacks. It is the post-election period that is showing a considerable increase in the insurgent threat.
This text analyses the risk of the armed insurgency in Cabo Delgado increasing, taking advantage of the vulnerabilities created by the post-election instability in Mozambique, caused by the electoral corruption of the Frelimo Party in collusion with the National Elections Commission (CNE) and the Electoral Administration Technical Secretariat (STAE). This is part of the work of the Centre for Public Integrity (CIP) of monitoring the response of the government to the conflict in Cabo Delgado.
